Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | Direct Relegation (%) | Relegation Playoffs (%) | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern Munich
82 pts
|
2015 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Dortmund
67 pts
|
1841 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
RB Leipzig
62 pts
|
1787 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 99 | 0 |
Hoffenheim
57 pts
|
1717 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 40 | 0 |
Stuttgart
57 pts
|
1756 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 36 | 0 |
Leverkusen
55 pts
|
1815 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Freiburg
43 pts
|
1720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Eint Frankfurt
43 pts
|
1680 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Augsburg
37 pts
|
1633 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mainz 05
34 pts
|
1675 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gladbach
32 pts
|
1623 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Werder Bremen
32 pts
|
1632 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Union Berlin
32 pts
|
1591 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Köln
31 pts
|
1586 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hamburger SV
31 pts
|
1577 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
St Pauli
26 pts
|
1556 | 33 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wolfsburg
25 pts
|
1587 | 68 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Heidenheim
22 pts
|
1541 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-05-01 12:39 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 |
Eint Frankfurt
|
Hamburger SV
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Leverkusen
|
RB Leipzig
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Bayern Munich
|
Heidenheim
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Hoffenheim
|
Stuttgart
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Werder Bremen
|
Augsburg
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Union Berlin
|
Köln
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Freiburg
|
Wolfsburg
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Gladbach
|
Dortmund
|
| 2026-05-03 |
St Pauli
|
Mainz 05
|
| 2026-05-08 |
Dortmund
|
Eint Frankfurt
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Stuttgart
|
Leverkusen
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Hoffenheim
|
Werder Bremen
|
| 2026-05-09 |
RB Leipzig
|
St Pauli
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Augsburg
|
Gladbach
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Wolfsburg
|
Bayern Munich
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Mainz 05
|
Union Berlin
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Köln
|
Heidenheim
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Hamburger SV
|
Freiburg
|
| 2026-05-16 |
St Pauli
|
Wolfsburg
|
| 2026-05-16 |
Leverkusen
|
Hamburger SV
|