Probabilistic forecasts for major sports
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2052 | 66 | 47 | 30 |
| Bayern Munich | 1998 | 53 | 33 | 17 |
| Manchester City | 1983 | 45 | 24 | 12 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1969 | 40 | 21 | 10 |
| Barcelona | 1949 | 28 | 14 | 7 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1924 | 71 | 58 | 42 |
| Roma | 1809 | 38 | 22 | 11 |
| Porto | 1777 | 34 | 17 | 7 |
| Lyon | 1752 | 34 | 15 | 6 |
| Stuttgart | 1770 | 29 | 14 | 6 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1800 | 62 | 53 | 39 |
| Strasbourg | 1699 | 45 | 33 | 17 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1640 | 52 | 22 | 10 |
| Mainz 05 | 1658 | 34 | 21 | 9 |
| AEK Athens | 1601 | 40 | 15 | 6 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2052 | 100 | 90 |
| Manchester City | 1983 | 98 | 7 |
| Aston Villa | 1924 | 95 | 3 |
| Liverpool | 1941 | 65 | 0 |
| Chelsea | 1883 | 12 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1949 | 100 | 78 |
| Real Madrid | 1917 | 100 | 21 |
| Atlético Madrid | 1871 | 96 | 1 |
| Villarreal | 1778 | 93 | 1 |
| Espanyol | 1677 | 4 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1928 | 99 | 78 |
| Milan | 1826 | 88 | 12 |
| Napoli | 1822 | 80 | 6 |
| Juventus | 1819 | 59 | 2 |
| Roma | 1809 | 60 | 2 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 1998 | 100 | 99 |
| Dortmund | 1864 | 96 | 0 |
| Leverkusen | 1837 | 66 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig | 1769 | 63 | 0 |
| Stuttgart | 1770 | 48 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1969 | 100 | 92 |
| Lens | 1766 | 97 | 7 |
| Marseille | 1765 | 66 | 0 |
| Lille | 1744 | 57 | 0 |
| Lyon | 1752 | 45 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | First Round Bye (%) | Make Super Bowl (%) | Win Super Bowl (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | 1796 | 100 | 64 | 38 |
| Denver Broncos | 1748 | 100 | 61 | 28 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1743 | 0 | 36 | 18 |
| New England Patriots | 1719 | 0 | 39 | 16 |
| Houston Texans | 1726 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Make Finals (%) | Win Finals (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 1817 | 65 | 46 |
| Boston Celtics | 1747 | 43 | 19 |
| Detroit Pistons | 1734 | 40 | 17 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 1725 | 11 | 5 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 1701 | 7 | 3 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Win LCS (%) | Win World Series (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1753 | 100 | 100 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 1691 | 100 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 1662 | 0 | 0 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 1629 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Yankees | 1692 | 0 | 0 |