Probabilistic forecasts for major sports
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal
|
2044 | 100 | 80 | 46 |
Paris S-G
|
1977 | 100 | 65 | 31 |
Bayern Munich
|
2015 | 100 | 35 | 17 |
Atlético Madrid
|
1846 | 100 | 20 | 6 |
Liverpool
|
1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nottm Forest
|
1831 | 100 | 63 | 41 |
Aston Villa
|
1882 | 100 | 37 | 26 |
Braga
|
1720 | 100 | 70 | 23 |
Freiburg
|
1720 | 100 | 30 | 10 |
Porto
|
1805 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Crystal Palace
|
1811 | 100 | 99 | 66 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
1669 | 100 | 63 | 19 |
Strasbourg
|
1722 | 100 | 37 | 14 |
Shakhtar
|
1583 | 100 | 1 | 0 |
Mainz 05
|
1675 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Arsenal
|
2044 | 100 | 100 | 77 |
Manchester City
|
1969 | 100 | 100 | 23 |
Manchester Utd
|
1887 | 100 | 91 | 0 |
|
Liverpool
|
1932 | 98 | 62 | 0 |
|
Aston Villa
|
1882 | 97 | 47 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Barcelona
|
1970 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Real Madrid
|
1915 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Villarreal
|
1759 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
|
Atlético Madrid
|
1846 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Real Betis
|
1735 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter
|
1890 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Napoli
|
1783 | 100 | 99 | 0 |
Milan
|
1781 | 99 | 94 | 0 |
Juventus
|
1797 | 95 | 78 | 0 |
Roma
|
1769 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bayern Munich
|
2015 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Dortmund
|
1841 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
RB Leipzig
|
1787 | 100 | 99 | 0 |
Hoffenheim
|
1717 | 75 | 40 | 0 |
Stuttgart
|
1756 | 65 | 36 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Paris S-G
|
1977 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Lens
|
1755 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Lille
|
1761 | 97 | 84 | 0 |
Lyon
|
1752 | 91 | 69 | 0 |
Rennes
|
1732 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Make Finals (%) | Win Finals (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
San Antonio Spurs
|
1856 | 52 | 37 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
1830 | 45 | 28 |
New York Knicks
|
1805 | 47 | 21 |
Boston Celtics
|
1758 | 17 | 5 |
Detroit Pistons
|
1769 | 13 | 4 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Win LCS (%) | Win World Series (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
1655 | 33 | 21 |
New York Yankees
|
1640 | 34 | 17 |
Atlanta Braves
|
1625 | 18 | 10 |
Chicago Cubs
|
1631 | 15 | 9 |
San Diego Padres
|
1622 | 10 | 6 |
| Team | Elo Rating | First Round Bye (%) | Make Super Bowl (%) | Win Super Bowl (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Seahawks
|
1829 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
New England Patriots
|
1714 | 0 | 100 | 0 |
Los Angeles Rams
|
1732 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Denver Broncos
|
1730 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Houston Texans
|
1726 | 0 | 0 | 0 |