Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | League Top 8 (%) |
Knockout Round (%) | Round of 16 (%) | Quarterfinal (%) | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
21 pts
|
1892 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 92 | 69 | 51 | 38 |
Porto
17 pts
|
1786 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 83 | 53 | 20 | 12 |
Lyon
21 pts
|
1754 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 61 | 44 | 30 | 12 |
Roma
16 pts
|
1785 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 69 | 22 | 12 | 8 |
Real Betis
17 pts
|
1736 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 49 | 38 | 21 | 7 |
Celta Vigo
13 pts
|
1721 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 39 | 26 | 16 | 6 |
Midtjylland
19 pts
|
1705 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 76 | 27 | 7 | 3 |
Freiburg
17 pts
|
1679 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 39 | 15 | 9 | 3 |
Nottm Forest
14 pts
|
1766 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 2 |
Stuttgart
15 pts
|
1749 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
Panathinaikos
12 pts
|
1587 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 51 | 27 | 8 | 2 |
Braga
17 pts
|
1677 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 2 |
Genk
16 pts
|
1606 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 61 | 16 | 6 | 1 |
Ferencváros
15 pts
|
1538 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 21 | 4 | 1 |
Bologna
15 pts
|
1689 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Lille
12 pts
|
1710 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Fenerbahçe
12 pts
|
1683 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PAOK
12 pts
|
1618 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Star
14 pts
|
1582 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Viktoria Plzeň
14 pts
|
1568 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Celtic
11 pts
|
1557 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dinamo Zagreb
10 pts
|
1549 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brann
9 pts
|
1540 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ludogorets
10 pts
|
1434 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Feyenoord
6 pts
|
1591 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nice
3 pts
|
1571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rangers
4 pts
|
1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RB Salzburg
6 pts
|
1502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Utrecht
1 pts
|
1495 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sturm Graz
7 pts
|
1452 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FCSB
7 pts
|
1449 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Basel
6 pts
|
1449 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Malmö
1 pts
|
1430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Young Boys
9 pts
|
1430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Go Ahead Eagles
7 pts
|
1425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Macc Tel Aviv
1 pts
|
1417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-03-13 06:46 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 |
Braga
|
Ferencváros
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Aston Villa
|
Lille
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Porto
|
Stuttgart
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Real Betis
|
Panathinaikos
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Roma
|
Bologna
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Freiburg
|
Genk
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Midtjylland
|
Nottm Forest
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Lyon
|
Celta Vigo
|