Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | League Top 8 (%) |
Knockout Round (%) | Round of 16 (%) | Quarterfinal (%) | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nottm Forest
14 pts
|
1831 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 63 | 41 |
Aston Villa
21 pts
|
1882 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 37 | 26 |
Braga
17 pts
|
1720 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 70 | 23 |
Freiburg
17 pts
|
1720 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 30 | 10 |
Porto
17 pts
|
1805 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Real Betis
17 pts
|
1735 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bologna
15 pts
|
1677 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Celta Vigo
13 pts
|
1684 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lyon
21 pts
|
1752 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Midtjylland
19 pts
|
1686 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Roma
16 pts
|
1769 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Genk
16 pts
|
1583 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stuttgart
15 pts
|
1756 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ferencváros
15 pts
|
1515 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lille
12 pts
|
1761 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Panathinaikos
12 pts
|
1555 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Star
14 pts
|
1589 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Viktoria Plzeň
14 pts
|
1552 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fenerbahçe
12 pts
|
1652 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
PAOK
12 pts
|
1590 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Celtic
11 pts
|
1550 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dinamo Zagreb
10 pts
|
1570 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ludogorets
10 pts
|
1444 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brann
9 pts
|
1506 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Young Boys
9 pts
|
1440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sturm Graz
7 pts
|
1477 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Go Ahead Eagles
7 pts
|
1449 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FCSB
7 pts
|
1433 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Feyenoord
6 pts
|
1595 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RB Salzburg
6 pts
|
1485 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Basel
6 pts
|
1451 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rangers
4 pts
|
1539 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nice
3 pts
|
1591 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Utrecht
1 pts
|
1500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Malmö
1 pts
|
1446 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Macc Tel Aviv
1 pts
|
1420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-05-01 12:49 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 |
Freiburg
|
Braga
|
| 2026-05-07 |
Aston Villa
|
Nottm Forest
|