Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | Direct Relegation (%) | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Barcelona
85 pts
|
1970 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Real Madrid
74 pts
|
1915 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Villarreal
65 pts
|
1759 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Atlético Madrid
60 pts
|
1846 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Real Betis
50 pts
|
1735 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Getafe
44 pts
|
1669 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Celta Vigo
44 pts
|
1684 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Real Sociedad
43 pts
|
1684 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Osasuna
42 pts
|
1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Athletic Club
41 pts
|
1691 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rayo Vallecano
39 pts
|
1669 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Valencia
39 pts
|
1664 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Espanyol
39 pts
|
1615 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Girona
38 pts
|
1646 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Elche
38 pts
|
1623 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Alavés
36 pts
|
1628 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mallorca
35 pts
|
1639 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sevilla
34 pts
|
1604 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Levante
33 pts
|
1618 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Oviedo
28 pts
|
1579 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-05-01 12:37 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 |
Girona
|
Mallorca
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Osasuna
|
Barcelona
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Alavés
|
Athletic Club
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Valencia
|
Atlético Madrid
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Villarreal
|
Levante
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Celta Vigo
|
Elche
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Getafe
|
Rayo Vallecano
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Real Betis
|
Oviedo
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Espanyol
|
Real Madrid
|
| 2026-05-04 |
Sevilla
|
Real Sociedad
|
| 2026-05-08 |
Levante
|
Osasuna
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Elche
|
Alavés
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Sevilla
|
Espanyol
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Atlético Madrid
|
Celta Vigo
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Real Sociedad
|
Real Betis
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Mallorca
|
Villarreal
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Barcelona
|
Real Madrid
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Oviedo
|
Getafe
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Athletic Club
|
Valencia
|
| 2026-05-11 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
Girona
|