Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | League Top 8 (%) |
Knockout Round (%) | Round of 16 (%) | Quarterfinal (%) | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crystal Palace
10 pts
|
1792 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 60 | 52 | 34 |
Strasbourg
16 pts
|
1715 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 96 | 64 | 40 | 21 |
Rayo Vallecano
13 pts
|
1663 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 99 | 55 | 24 | 11 |
Fiorentina
9 pts
|
1642 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 79 | 28 | 18 | 8 |
AEK Athens
13 pts
|
1638 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 45 | 18 | 8 |
Mainz 05
13 pts
|
1658 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 85 | 34 | 18 | 8 |
Shakhtar
13 pts
|
1562 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 95 | 49 | 12 | 4 |
Sparta Prague
13 pts
|
1588 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
10 pts
|
1537 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 64 | 29 | 7 | 2 |
AEK Larnaca FC
12 pts
|
1503 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
Raków
14 pts
|
1524 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Lech Poznań
10 pts
|
1508 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Sigma Olomouc
7 pts
|
1403 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Rijeka
9 pts
|
1431 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Samsunspor
10 pts
|
1421 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
NK Celje
10 pts
|
1415 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jagiellonia
9 pts
|
1509 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AC Omonia
8 pts
|
1458 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lausanne-Sport
11 pts
|
1397 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
KuPS
7 pts
|
1297 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FC Noah
8 pts
|
1294 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Zrinjski Mostar
7 pts
|
1283 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
KF Drita
8 pts
|
1243 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FK Shkëndija
7 pts
|
1227 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CS U Craiova
7 pts
|
1468 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Legia Warsaw
6 pts
|
1426 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dynamo Kyiv
6 pts
|
1426 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BK Häcken
3 pts
|
1368 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovan Bratisl
6 pts
|
1367 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rapid Wien
1 pts
|
1356 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Shamrock Rovers
4 pts
|
1313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Aberdeen
2 pts
|
1263 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Shelbourne FC
2 pts
|
1241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Breiðablik
5 pts
|
1231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ħamrun Spartans
3 pts
|
1117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lincoln Imps
7 pts
|
1065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-03-13 06:50 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 |
Raków
|
Fiorentina
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Mainz 05
|
Sigma Olomouc
|
| 2026-03-19 |
AEK Athens
|
NK Celje
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Sparta Prague
|
AZ Alkmaar
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Shakhtar
|
Lech Poznań
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Strasbourg
|
Rijeka
|
| 2026-03-19 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
Samsunspor
|
| 2026-03-19 |
AEK Larnaca FC
|
Crystal Palace
|