Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | League Top 8 (%) |
Knockout Round (%) | Round of 16 (%) | Quarterfinal (%) | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crystal Palace
10 pts
|
1811 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 99 | 66 |
Rayo Vallecano
13 pts
|
1669 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 63 | 19 |
Strasbourg
16 pts
|
1722 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 37 | 14 |
Shakhtar
13 pts
|
1583 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1 | 0 |
Mainz 05
13 pts
|
1675 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AEK Athens
13 pts
|
1637 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AZ Alkmaar
10 pts
|
1544 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fiorentina
9 pts
|
1661 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raków
14 pts
|
1507 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sparta Prague
13 pts
|
1566 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AEK Larnaca FC
12 pts
|
1494 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lech Poznań
10 pts
|
1511 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
NK Celje
10 pts
|
1452 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Samsunspor
10 pts
|
1436 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rijeka
9 pts
|
1396 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sigma Olomouc
7 pts
|
1374 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lausanne-Sport
11 pts
|
1366 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jagiellonia
9 pts
|
1477 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
AC Omonia
8 pts
|
1457 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FC Noah
8 pts
|
1294 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
KF Drita
8 pts
|
1243 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
KuPS
7 pts
|
1297 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Zrinjski Mostar
7 pts
|
1283 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FK Shkëndija
7 pts
|
1227 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CS U Craiova
7 pts
|
1459 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lincoln Imps
7 pts
|
1065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Legia Warsaw
6 pts
|
1445 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dynamo Kyiv
6 pts
|
1437 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovan Bratisl
6 pts
|
1367 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Breiðablik
5 pts
|
1231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Shamrock Rovers
4 pts
|
1313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
BK Häcken
3 pts
|
1386 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ħamrun Spartans
3 pts
|
1117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Aberdeen
2 pts
|
1271 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Shelbourne FC
2 pts
|
1241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rapid Wien
1 pts
|
1384 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-05-01 12:53 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 |
Strasbourg
|
Rayo Vallecano
|
| 2026-05-07 |
Crystal Palace
|
Shakhtar
|