Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | Direct Relegation (%) | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal
67 pts
|
2058 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 96 |
Manchester City
60 pts
|
1959 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 4 |
Aston Villa
51 pts
|
1892 | 0 | 82 | 61 | 0 |
Manchester Utd
51 pts
|
1875 | 0 | 78 | 57 | 0 |
Liverpool
48 pts
|
1937 | 0 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
Chelsea
48 pts
|
1910 | 0 | 62 | 37 | 0 |
Brentford
44 pts
|
1842 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Newcastle
39 pts
|
1859 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brighton
37 pts
|
1833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bournemouth
40 pts
|
1829 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Everton
43 pts
|
1823 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Fulham
40 pts
|
1799 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Crystal Palace
38 pts
|
1792 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sunderland
40 pts
|
1701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Leeds United
31 pts
|
1766 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tottenham
29 pts
|
1768 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nottm Forest
28 pts
|
1766 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
West Ham United
28 pts
|
1746 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Burnley
19 pts
|
1684 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wolves
16 pts
|
1701 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-03-13 06:32 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 |
Chelsea
|
Newcastle
|
| 2026-03-14 |
West Ham United
|
Manchester City
|
| 2026-03-14 |
Burnley
|
Bournemouth
|
| 2026-03-14 |
Arsenal
|
Everton
|
| 2026-03-14 |
Sunderland
|
Brighton
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Liverpool
|
Tottenham
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Nottm Forest
|
Fulham
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Crystal Palace
|
Leeds United
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Manchester Utd
|
Aston Villa
|
| 2026-03-16 |
Brentford
|
Wolves
|
| 2026-03-20 |
Bournemouth
|
Manchester Utd
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Leeds United
|
Brentford
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Everton
|
Chelsea
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Manchester City
|
Crystal Palace
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Fulham
|
Burnley
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Brighton
|
Liverpool
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Newcastle
|
Sunderland
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Aston Villa
|
West Ham United
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Tottenham
|
Nottm Forest
|
| 2026-04-10 |
West Ham United
|
Wolves
|