Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | Direct Relegation (%) | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal
73 pts
|
2044 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 77 |
Manchester City
70 pts
|
1969 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 23 |
Manchester Utd
61 pts
|
1887 | 0 | 100 | 91 | 0 |
Liverpool
58 pts
|
1932 | 0 | 98 | 62 | 0 |
Aston Villa
58 pts
|
1882 | 0 | 97 | 47 | 0 |
Brighton
50 pts
|
1865 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Bournemouth
49 pts
|
1847 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Chelsea
48 pts
|
1840 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Brentford
48 pts
|
1827 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fulham
48 pts
|
1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Everton
47 pts
|
1820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sunderland
46 pts
|
1699 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Crystal Palace
43 pts
|
1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Newcastle
42 pts
|
1824 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Leeds United
40 pts
|
1792 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nottm Forest
39 pts
|
1831 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
West Ham United
36 pts
|
1768 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Tottenham
34 pts
|
1757 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Burnley
20 pts
|
1664 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wolves
17 pts
|
1677 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-05-01 12:33 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 |
Leeds United
|
Burnley
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Wolves
|
Sunderland
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Brentford
|
West Ham United
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Newcastle
|
Brighton
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Arsenal
|
Fulham
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Bournemouth
|
Crystal Palace
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Manchester Utd
|
Liverpool
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Aston Villa
|
Tottenham
|
| 2026-05-04 |
Chelsea
|
Nottm Forest
|
| 2026-05-04 |
Everton
|
Manchester City
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Liverpool
|
Chelsea
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Brighton
|
Wolves
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Fulham
|
Bournemouth
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Sunderland
|
Manchester Utd
|
| 2026-05-09 |
Manchester City
|
Brentford
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Crystal Palace
|
Everton
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Nottm Forest
|
Newcastle
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Burnley
|
Aston Villa
|
| 2026-05-10 |
West Ham United
|
Arsenal
|
| 2026-05-11 |
Tottenham
|
Leeds United
|