Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | Direct Relegation (%) | Relegation Playoffs (%) | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paris S-G
57 pts
|
1940 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 92 |
Lens
56 pts
|
1764 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 8 |
Marseille
46 pts
|
1743 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 82 | 0 |
Lyon
46 pts
|
1754 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 67 | 0 |
Rennes
43 pts
|
1709 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
Lille
41 pts
|
1710 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Monaco
40 pts
|
1727 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Strasbourg
36 pts
|
1715 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Brest
36 pts
|
1676 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Toulouse
31 pts
|
1633 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lorient
34 pts
|
1631 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Angers
32 pts
|
1566 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Le Havre
26 pts
|
1562 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Paris FC
27 pts
|
1557 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nice
24 pts
|
1571 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Auxerre
19 pts
|
1572 | 22 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nantes
17 pts
|
1521 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Metz
13 pts
|
1505 | 94 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-03-13 06:39 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 |
Marseille
|
Auxerre
|
| 2026-03-14 |
Monaco
|
Brest
|
| 2026-03-14 |
Angers
|
Nice
|
| 2026-03-14 |
Lorient
|
Lens
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Metz
|
Toulouse
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Strasbourg
|
Paris FC
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Le Havre
|
Lyon
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Rennes
|
Lille
|
| 2026-03-15 |
Paris S-G
|
Nantes
|
| 2026-03-20 |
Lens
|
Angers
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Nice
|
Paris S-G
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Auxerre
|
Brest
|
| 2026-03-21 |
Toulouse
|
Lorient
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Nantes
|
Strasbourg
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Paris FC
|
Le Havre
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Rennes
|
Metz
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Marseille
|
Lille
|
| 2026-03-22 |
Lyon
|
Monaco
|
| 2026-04-03 |
Paris S-G
|
Toulouse
|
| 2026-04-04 |
Strasbourg
|
Nice
|