Probabilistic forecast for major football leagues
| Team | Elo Rating | Direct Relegation (%) | Relegation Playoffs (%) | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paris S-G
69 pts
|
1977 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Lens
63 pts
|
1755 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Lille
57 pts
|
1761 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 84 | 0 |
Lyon
57 pts
|
1752 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 69 | 0 |
Rennes
56 pts
|
1732 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
Marseille
53 pts
|
1722 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Monaco
51 pts
|
1731 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Strasbourg
46 pts
|
1722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lorient
41 pts
|
1638 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brest
38 pts
|
1650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Toulouse
38 pts
|
1634 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Paris FC
38 pts
|
1603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Angers
34 pts
|
1551 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Le Havre
31 pts
|
1564 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nice
30 pts
|
1591 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Auxerre
25 pts
|
1591 | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nantes
20 pts
|
1526 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Metz
16 pts
|
1501 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Updated: 2026-05-01 12:41 UTC
Upcoming Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 |
Metz
|
Monaco
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Paris S-G
|
Lorient
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Nantes
|
Marseille
|
| 2026-05-02 |
Nice
|
Lens
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Lyon
|
Rennes
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Paris FC
|
Brest
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Auxerre
|
Angers
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Strasbourg
|
Toulouse
|
| 2026-05-03 |
Lille
|
Le Havre
|
| 2026-05-08 |
Lens
|
Nantes
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Le Havre
|
Marseille
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Angers
|
Strasbourg
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Auxerre
|
Nice
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Metz
|
Lorient
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Rennes
|
Paris FC
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Monaco
|
Lille
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Paris S-G
|
Brest
|
| 2026-05-10 |
Toulouse
|
Lyon
|
| 2026-05-13 |
Lens
|
Paris S-G
|
| 2026-05-13 |
Brest
|
Strasbourg
|