Probabilistic forecasts for major sports
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arsenal
|
2058 | 77 | 60 | 38 |
Bayern Munich
|
1995 | 62 | 39 | 20 |
Paris S-G
|
1940 | 63 | 27 | 12 |
Barcelona
|
1953 | 47 | 19 | 9 |
Real Madrid
|
1930 | 35 | 19 | 7 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
|
1892 | 69 | 51 | 38 |
Porto
|
1786 | 53 | 20 | 12 |
Lyon
|
1754 | 44 | 30 | 12 |
Roma
|
1785 | 22 | 12 | 8 |
Real Betis
|
1736 | 38 | 21 | 7 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Semifinal (%) | Final (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Crystal Palace
|
1792 | 60 | 52 | 34 |
Strasbourg
|
1715 | 64 | 40 | 21 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
1663 | 55 | 24 | 11 |
Fiorentina
|
1642 | 28 | 18 | 8 |
AEK Athens
|
1638 | 45 | 18 | 8 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Arsenal
|
2058 | 100 | 100 | 96 |
Manchester City
|
1959 | 100 | 100 | 4 |
|
Aston Villa
|
1892 | 82 | 61 | 0 |
Manchester Utd
|
1875 | 78 | 57 | 0 |
Liverpool
|
1937 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Barcelona
|
1953 | 100 | 100 | 74 |
|
Real Madrid
|
1930 | 100 | 100 | 26 |
Atlético Madrid
|
1857 | 100 | 99 | 0 |
Villarreal
|
1750 | 100 | 97 | 0 |
|
Real Betis
|
1736 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter
|
1893 | 100 | 100 | 93 |
Milan
|
1821 | 100 | 99 | 6 |
Napoli
|
1790 | 98 | 93 | 1 |
|
Roma
|
1785 | 72 | 45 | 0 |
Juventus
|
1779 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bayern Munich
|
1995 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Dortmund
|
1830 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Hoffenheim
|
1724 | 90 | 72 | 0 |
RB Leipzig
|
1750 | 75 | 49 | 0 |
Leverkusen
|
1809 | 69 | 42 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Top 5 (%) | Top 4 (%) | Champion (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Paris S-G
|
1940 | 100 | 100 | 92 |
Lens
|
1764 | 100 | 100 | 8 |
Marseille
|
1743 | 93 | 82 | 0 |
|
Lyon
|
1754 | 86 | 67 | 0 |
Rennes
|
1709 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Make Finals (%) | Win Finals (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
1804 | 47 | 27 |
San Antonio Spurs
|
1804 | 43 | 24 |
New York Knicks
|
1782 | 30 | 17 |
Detroit Pistons
|
1766 | 29 | 13 |
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
1748 | 17 | 7 |
| Team | Elo Rating | Win LCS (%) | Win World Series (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
1653 | 27 | 18 |
Milwaukee Brewers
|
1642 | 19 | 11 |
Toronto Blue Jays
|
1641 | 20 | 10 |
Philadelphia Phillies
|
1640 | 18 | 10 |
New York Yankees
|
1637 | 17 | 8 |
| Team | Elo Rating | First Round Bye (%) | Make Super Bowl (%) | Win Super Bowl (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Seahawks
|
1829 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
New England Patriots
|
1714 | 0 | 100 | 0 |
Los Angeles Rams
|
1732 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Denver Broncos
|
1730 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Houston Texans
|
1726 | 0 | 0 | 0 |